LEC 2020 Spring Week 8 Preview

LEC Spring 2020 Week 8 Preview

The bottom half of the table is already solved, but the competition for the top-4 spots is still very hot. There is only a 1 game difference between each spot between 2nd and 5th which leaves a lot of chances for each team moving forward. So this week is really important for teams, as the top four get a huge advantage in the playoffs. Already this season, I would say that changes to the format of the playoffs have brought more excitement to the regular season. More information about the league and teams can be found on the event page

Match of the Week

MAD Lions - Misfits Gaming

Misfits Gaming is in fourth place this week, and MAD Lions are up one game over their opponent. Needless to say, the outcome of this match is crucial to the top-4 ranking. 

Both teams have now played two weeks in a row with a 1-1 score, and that is thanks alot to each team throwing. The basic game for both teams is in very good shape, but when the star players fail to show up, there becomes a reason to worry. Febiven has definitely been the cornerstone of the Misfits game and has been important for the team that Korean reinforcement Bvoy has also found a good boost as the season progresses. Nevertheless, with Febiven getting his opponent's focus, Misfits has been in trouble. This was seen most clearly in week 6 against Fnatic. Razork must be able to keep Febiven in the game by any means. Misfits' luck is that Febiven's lane opponent Humanoid is the wild cards of MAD Lions. A mechanically talented Mid laner is capable of incredible performance, but at least as often Humanoid makes the wrong decisions and dies in vain. This is a really big key for Misfits to win.

MAD Lions' greatest strength is found on the newcomer bot laner side. Carzzy has instantly risen to the elite level of play and once the team finds one of the best early game Jungle players (Shadow), success has been built on getting Carzzy ahead and then jumping in the backpack. This time around, Shadow faces another top tier Jungler, Razork. Of course, this makes it difficult for Shadow to get ahead of the lane, but Shadow has shown great innovation ability to find new ways to gain an advantage for his team. Jungle and its synergy, especially with Bot lane, is the key that MAD Lions can disrupt Misfits Gaming.

The starting points for the match are fairly flat, but when you look closely at teams, Misfits Gaming has a lot less risk factors and more strengths. So I strongly believe that this match will continue as the first meet of the teams and Misfits Gaming is consolidating its position among the top-4 teams while almost crushing the MAD Lions' hopes from the top of the chart.

LEC Week 8 matches

MAD Lions - SK Gaming

MAD Lions craves victory to secure their place in the playoffs and fight for a top-4 position, while SK Gaming has little to no stake in this match. Sure, skipping Schalke can be a matter of honor, but I think the team is working to get their game in shape for the summer. An easy win for MAD Lions, even though SK Gaming has looked a bit better since its playoff busts.

Schalke 04 - Misfits Gaming

Basically the same story as in the first match. Schalke's chances for the playoffs are gone and he is looking for a new season with his new players. Misfits desperately needs a victory to keep MAD Lions behind and to keep up with Rogue, Fnatic and Origen. The Misfits are clearly better overall, and Febiven cuts the Abbedage into pieces of the right size.

Excel Esports - Fnatic

Excel really needs a win or it may start to throw the final goodbye to the playoffs, but Fnatic also needs a win to stay in the top-4 teams. Fnatic has shown great innovation in recent weeks and has been able to hit the teams' weak points. It even got the G2 Esportst on its knees until it threw the game at the baron. Fnatic is clearly a favorite for this match.

Origen - Team Vitality

Team Vitality has looked a bit better after the changes, though Selfie's first week was more or less a disaster. But this better vibe is nowhere near the level of Origen. Especially now that Origen is really hungry trying to secure a spot at the top of the playoff chart. A clear win for Origen and Vitality's pit just deepens.

G2 Esports - Rogue

This is the only match of the day where both teams have really big stakes. From Rogue's point of view, it is only regrettable that G2 seems to have resolved the troubles that have plagued the team for a couple of weeks and is at its peak again. Sure enough, a small notch for team protection made Fnatic able to take control of the inter-team match last week and G2 only won because Fnatic offered it on the tray. The G2 wins this, but probably this is the match that really gets the viewers entertained.

Schalke 04 - Team Vitality

Here we are only fighting for reputation and honor. Basically it doesn't matter if you are tenth or eighth, but of course every player wants to win every time a stake is played. Both teams have renewed their lineups in recent weeks and Schalke's changes have seemed to work better. Sure, Steeelback has been a good addition, but Selfie, who came in as an emergency, didn't look very strong in his first matches. Schalke is a pre-favorite for this match, but there is a lot to do with team drafts. Team Vitality has a place to be surprised if the Selfie has returned to LEC level.

SK Gaming - Origen

Origen will face two of the worst teams in the league this week. I don't know if it's good for the team or not. On the one hand, it is two "sure" wins to strengthen the position in the top-4, but on the other hand, it can also easily trigger a natural reaction to play a little less seriously and can be detrimental to the advent of the playoffs. Either way, Origen is a really big favorite in this match.

G2 Esports - Excel Esports

There is a good chance that Excel is ahead of them in this match, and when a G2-level team is matched in such a match, one cannot envy Excel. G2 has clearly fixed the problems that have plagued the team for a couple of weeks and thus Excel's chances of being in this match are very minimal. Teams that have surprised G2 this season have been teams that have brought something unique to the game and this style is not clearly associated with Excel. G2 wins and Excel has to give up the playoffs.

Fnatic - Rogue

This match was a strong candidate for the match of the week, but because it gets so much hype everywhere else, I wanted to bring it up. The battle between MAD Lions and Misfits, with just the same stakes. Fnatic and Rogue are victorious at the start of the eighth week. Fnatic in second place and Rogue in fourth place. So the stakes in this match are monumental.

Fnatic has been brilliant in drafts for the last few weeks and has found the weaknesses of his opponents. Rogue doesn't have any really big big weaknesses, but its baseline flips and on good day it is below Fnatic. It's hard to see how Rogue would make a profit here unless Hylissang is given Nautilus. That's a lose condition that anyone can challenge to Fnatic.

Weekly betting tip

Honestly, this week is very poor in terms of betting. At this point, winning a bet would seem like a very useless project, so take a look at other alternative items during the match. It is also possible, for example, that SK Gaming will make changes to its lineup during the match and we will try to respond to such events quickly through our betting twitter account.

 

Cameron Carr image

Cameron Carr

12 March 2020

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